Monday, April 15, 2019

SPACE JUNK: INTERNET SATELLITE CONSTELLATIONS / SPACE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT / SPACE DEBRIS SOLUTIONS






















The issue of space junk has been around for a while but its changed its meaning and focus over the years. In the early Space Age days - Sputnik, the first satellite was launched in October 1957- there was some public concern reflected in the media about spacecraft boosters and defunct satellites falling back to earth. In fact this happened on a number of occasions [see chronology below] People were more concerned about the nuclear bombs exploding in the atmosphere and the threat of nuclear war.

Fast forward to our current time and we've now got a different problem on our hands.Space is getting crowded with an increasing number of satellites in earth orbit, with more countries developing their own space programmes alongside billionaires who have their own privately- funded space travel plans. 


Space junk now principally refers to the debris of numerous explosions and accidents which has gradually accumulated over the last 50+ years. The larger pieces are easier to track and avoid but the main bulk is made up of small if not tiny flecks of metal or paint and other debris which can inflict real damage on satellites, the International Space Station (ISS), the Hubble Telescope and spacecraft.

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MAJOR INCIDENTS

In April this year, India's recent missile test shot down a satellite and created 400 pieces of orbital debris. NASA have been tracking objects from the explosion that are big enough to track - about 10cms (6ins). Some 60 have so far been found. The Indian satellite was in a low altitude of 180mls, well below the ISS and most satellites.  NASA are mort concerned about 40 objects above the ISS. They estimate that the risk of any of these colliding with the ISS had increased by 44%,

According to Michael Safi and Hannah Devlin's story on the incident in The Guardian the US military are currently tracking  23,000 objects larger than 10cm. This includes 10,000 pieces of space debris.

Nearly 3,000 of these were created  in January 2007 when China tested an anti-satellite weapon on an old Fengyun weather satellite at an altitude of 530mls.

The other biggest space junk incident was in February 2009, when an Iridium telecoms satellite and Kosmos-2251, a Russian military satellite, accidentally collided.

In 2012, the crew of the International Space Station was forced to shelter in the Soyuz escape capsules when debris from this collision passed close by.


See also: 'Top 10 Space Age Radiation Incidents' by Patrick Weidinger [Jan 20th 2012] and 10 Eye-Opening Facts About Space Junk on the Listverse.com wensite.


Experts are concerned that collisions will get more frequent, which could in turn trigger off a cascade effect with fragments creating further collisions as in the movie Gravity.

European Space Agency (ESA) statistical models calculate that the Earth is ringed by 900,000 pieces of debris larger than a marble. Some 34,000 of these measure more than 10cm.

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CROWDED SPACE/INTERNET SATELLITE CONSTELLATIONS

Satellites are getting smaller and cheaper to launch. Scientists, companies and even schools can build one to photograph Earth for as little as $10,000.
On a larger scale, a number of major companies are seeking to build and launch internet constellations in what is turning into a battle of the billionaires.

Source: Pocket-Lint

















In 2018, Elon Musk's company SpaceX, based in Hawthorne, California, announced a project named Starlink   which initially planned to launch a constellation of 4,425 satellites in low Earth orbit. After the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved an additional 7,518 satellites late last year, SpaceX expanded the quota to 11,943 satellites. Only two prototype Starlink satellites have so far been launched. The FCC claims the project won’t be operational until at least 800 satellites are deployed.
       In April 2019, Amazon announced Project Kuiper, a plan to construct a broadband internet constellation of 3,236 satellites that will work in concert with Amazon's planned large network of 12 satellite ground station facilities announced in November 2018. A valuable detailed up-to-date story by Alan Boyle on GeekWire outlines Amazon's plans and those of the other runners and riders listed below
 On the 8th April The Observer  published a story by Sissi Cao entitled 'Jeff Bezos Poaches SpaceX’s Satellite Team to Build a Very Similar Project for Amazon. She reports that 'Bezos had hired SpaceX’s former vice president of satellites, Rajeev Badyal, and several members of his team, to lead Amazon’s Project Kuiper, Badyal was the head of SpaceX’s “Starlink” project, a very similar effort to Amazon’s Project Kuiper but at a larger scale. Badyal was fired by Elon Musk in June last year, one  due to Musk’s dissatisfaction on the progress of Starlink.'

OneWeb satellite

In 2015, OneWeb [Formerly WorldVU] announced plans for a 650-satellite constellation to provide global Internet broadband services starting in 2021. Their first six French-built satellites were launched on Feb 27th 2019. According to 'How OneWeb plans to make sure its first satellites aren’t its last' by Caleb Henry on the SpaceNews website [March 18, 2019]
'If all continues to go as planned, OneWeb’s first six spacecraft will finish on-orbit testing this spring, clearing the path for an initial system of 648 satellites — 600 operational and 48 spares — and setting the stage for a larger system that could eventually number 900 or more satellites.  
'Orbiting the initial 648-satellite constellation will entail the largest launch campaign in history. In late summer of early fall, OneWeb expects to start launching 30 or so satellites at a time on Soyuz rockets lifting off every three to four weeks.'
'OneWeb and its satellite manufacturing partner Airbus Defence and Space have crammed 10 gigabits per second of capacity into spacecraft the size of dishwashers.  OneWeb satellites cost $1 million each to produce, and the companies will be able to complete 350 to 400 satellites annually from their joint venture $85 million Florida factory which is oepening this month.'
 Telesat put its first prototype broadband satellite in low Earth orbit last year, and is planning on an initial constellation of more than 100 satellites, growing ultimately to 292 spacecraft. to provide first-generation broadband services in the early 2020.
LeoSat Enterprises is planning to launch a constellation of 108 low-earth-orbit communications satellites which they claim will provide the fastest, most secure and widest coverage data network in the world. These satellites will be interconnected through laser links, effectively creating an optical backbone in space which is about 1.5 times faster than terrestrial fiber backbones.
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MANAGING SPACE TRAFFIC and SPACE JUNK 


In an essay in Nature [27.3.2019] 'Four steps to global management of space traffic', Jamie Morin sets out the elements required to track satellites and avoid crashes. There are several strategies and tactics to try and deal with the problems of space junk.
GREATER COOPERATION: The 1967 Outer Space Treaty states that no country may restrict another’s access to and peaceful use of space. According to Marin: 'To adapt to a crowded and democratized space future, we will need some form of space traffic management. The US government is seeking to lead global efforts while developing policies to manage its satellites more effectively. This would not involve ‘traffic police’ directing satellites left or right, but a system more like the weather service. Satellite operators would share information and receive status reports and collision alerts'.See go.nature.com/2dtjznn
 In an April 2018 speech, US vice-president Michael Pence announced that the Department of Commerce will take a lead in establishing common global practices to manage space traffic.
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Space is getting crowded. Today, we can track more than 20,000 artificial objects that orbit Earth — including 1,500 working satellites and a plethora of expired craft, used boosters and other debris.'
Later this year, ten times as many objects could be revealed when the US Air Force switches on its Space Fence  This powerful radar, located on Kwajalein Atoll in the Pacific Ocean and costing US$1.6 billion, will make one million observations a day.' See:go.nature.com/2dxztu3) 
IMPROVED TRACKING: 'Tracking space objects is technically difficult, especially if they are small and fast-moving. Objects can be as small as a fleck of paint or as big as a city bus. And most travel many kilometres each second, along orbits from 200 kilometres to 40,000 kilometres above Earth’s surface.
'Currently, the US military uses a website to publish extensive data for objects that are larger than about 10 centimetres (www.space-track.org). However, for every tracked object, there are 20–30 times as many pieces of debris. Most are too small to be followed, but many could end a mission if they were to hit satellite  Ultimately, global sharing of tracking data is desirable, to make the best use of sensors around the globe.
The prospects for international cooperation on tracking and management are constrained by geopolitical risks, in that some countries might not want to rely on the United States and would seek their own, independent data. 
'This is analogous to the current situation with global navigation and timing data, in which Russia, European nations, China and Japan have all developed some form of alternative to the US-operated Global Positioning System.'
'Under the UN Convention on Registration of Objects Launched into Outer Space, governments are obliged to record new space objects. But this takes weeks or months, and lists are incomplete.
'Governments and companies such as ExoAnalytic Solutions in Foothill Ranch, California, and LeoLabs in Menlo Park, California, are developing services for reporting potential collisions; currently, the US Air Force is the primary provider.'

SPACE DEBRIS SOLUTIONS 

The Inter-Agency Space Debris Coordination Committee (IADC), is a group of 13 civil space agencies which has been discussing plans to solve the problem of space debris. They are calling for:
  • All satellites in low Earth orbit to be removed within 25 years of the end of their mission 
  • the elimination of all on-board energy sources — from fuels to spinning momentum wheels — which will lower the risk of decommissioned satellites exploding. 
  • Some especially hazardous debris objects to be removed from orbit, 


RemoveDEBRIS based at  the Surrey Space Centre at the University of Surrey in the UK, is aimed at performing key Active Debris Removal (ADR) technology demonstrations to find the best way to capture the estimated 40,000 pieces of space debris that is orbiting Earth. Their website is fantastic, outlined in clear detail the elements of the project and showing video footage of their trials based from the International Space Station, testing capture techniques using a net and a harpoon. See also this BBC report on the project: 'Space harpoon skewers 'orbital debris' by Jonathan Amos [15 February 2019]

 European Space Agency (ESA) Clean Space project  called e.deorbit, was to capture a large defunct satellite from Low Earth orbit and then burn it up in a controlled atmospheric reentry. 

According to 'European Space Junk Cleanup Concept Gets New Mission: Refuel and Repair' by Tereza Pultarova [January 29, 2019] on the Space.com website.
'Envisat, an 8-metric-ton (18,000 lbs.) Earth-observation spacecraft the size of a double-decker bus, failed in April 2012 after a 10-year mission. Due to its size and position in the highly populated low Earth orbit, it is now considered one of the most dangerous pieces of space debris in orbit.'
In December 2018, ESA officials announced their decision to refocus their plans as they were finding it difficult to raise the money for a single-case mission. The new concept of e.Deorbit is to build a multipurpose, in-orbit servicing vehicle that could be used to refuel, refurbish or re-boost satellites.

GENERALIST ARCHIVE: HISTORY OF SPACE JUNK



The oldest reference to space junk I've got in the Generalist Archive is a 1967 Scientific Book Club copy of 'The Life and Death of a Satellite' by the legendary sf writer Alfred Bester. His only work of non-fiction I believe.


'Fidel Castro screamed that it was an act of outright agression when a launch from the Cape [Canaveral] misfired and landed on a Cuban farm. Africa received another accidental gift from the Cape; rocket casings strewn across miles of barren country. They raised hell,too. 

"But people will just have to get used to the idea that they're going to get hit by falling stages," Schindler said (Schindler is a. rocket expert at Goddard), "just as they're getting hit by falling planes. Fortunately a good proportion of the stages burnt out in the air, but within the next few years spent rocket and satellites are going to start dropping back to earth. Space people are worried about this." 

These fragments are already beginning to fall. They're called"decayed objects" because their orbits have decayed as a result of the earth's gravitational attraction which slowly pulls them down. When they reenter the atmosphere, the smaller objects burn up like meteorites. They don't come diving in; they skip in over the upper atmosphere, like a flat stone over water, which gives them time to burn, and gives rise to flying saucer reports featuring Little Green Men. All reports are processed by the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory. 

It's the larger objects that are the headache; they come down without skipping. One of them smashed into the main street of a town in Manitoba. When experts were called in to find out if it was a meteor, they discovered that it was a chunk of Sputnik IV. The Canadians sent it back to Russia. without thanks.' 
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1977


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1978

A Russian nuclear powered radar spy satellite C954 crashed onto the Northern territories of Canada on January 24th 1978, scattering debris over a  800km area. Its small nuclear reactor disintegrated. Contaminated snow and soil had to be scraped up by bulldozers, put in containers and taken to the Canadian Atomic Energy Board's radioactive waste disposal site. 



1982
Illustration by William K. Hartmann is a noted planetary scientist, artist, author, and writer. He was the first to convince the scientific mainstream that the Earth had once been hit by a planet sized body (Theia), creating both the moon and the Earth's 23.5° tilt.

Junk in Space  
Man-made debris circling the earth in relatively low orbits 
threatens the safety of future space missions 
by Donald J. Kessler 
[Natural History/March 1982]

'The space age is only twenty-five years old but Earth's orbital space has already been turned into something of a junkyard. About 5,000 man-made objects are currently being tracked in Earth orbit. Only a small fraction of these are functioning satellites that carry such instruments as radiation detectors, atmospheric monitors, commu-nication relays, cameras, and mass spectrometers. Most are either no longer functioning satellites, burned-out rocket stages, or fragments from the breakup of rockets and satellites. No one knows how many additional man-made objects, too small or too high up to be detected, may also be circling the earth. Public attention has largely been focused on the presumed risk that these objects may fall to Earth, causing deaths and physical damage. 


For example, when the nuclear-powered Soviet surveillance satellite Cosmos 954 reentered the earth's atmosphere over Canada in 1978, following a sudden depressurization, many feared that it might have spread radiation over that country. None was found, however. 


Similarly, there was much consternation in the summer of 1979 when, despite NASA's effort to cause the unmanned Skylab to fall into either the Indian or Atlantic ocean, the spacecraft reentered the earth's atmosphere over Australia. Even though it created a brilliant display in the Australian night sky, nothing on the earth was damaged as Skylab broke up in the atmosphere and pieces of it fell on the continent. 


Were we lucky? Not exactly. For purposes of comparison, the risk to humans on the ground is far greater from automobiles, airplane crashes, lightning, and other occurrences. 


Every year, between 500 and 1,000 man-made objects reenter the earth's atmosphere from greater altitudes, but most of them are so small that they burn up before hitting the ground. 


In any given year, more than 10,000 meteoroids of comparable size, or larger, also enter the earth's atmosphere from outer space, but only about 500 of these become meteorites, surviving to hit the ground. Thus, the risk to people on the ground is greater from meteorites than sixty explosions - some accidental, some planned - that are known to have recurred in space



High-energy satellite explosions, such as that depicted in this painting, are one source of dangerous, small, man-made objects in Earth's orbital space. 

[See Previous Post: Curious Facts: Meteorites]


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1983


 Screenshot of an Associated Press article that ran in the Ocala Star-Banner, a Florida newspaper, on Jan. 6, 1983.

1986

Source: New Scientist 13.10.90

Junk in orbit 

Dr David Whitehouse


The Guardian 22 August 1986


In July 1982, Space Shuttle Columbia, on its fourth mission, came within 13km of the spent upper stage rocket used to launch the Soviet Intercosmos 4 satellite. Although both objects were being constantly monitored and any possible collision was avoidable, it caused concern to ground controllers. 



After the seventh shuttle flight in 1983, one of Challenger's forward windows had to be replaced after it was struck by a tiny speck of paint that had peeled off ' from the satellite. 

A few months later, on July 27, 1983, cosmonauts Lyakhov and Alexandrov were working in the Salyut 7 space station when they were startled by a loud crack. Investigation showed that a 0.2 inch diameter crater had been formed on one of the windows. It was too small to puncture the skin of Salyut though it amazingly coincided with preparations for a training exercise called "urgent escape from the station." It is not known if the object which struck Salyut was a natural or artificial piece of space debris. 

Some disastrous impacts may already have taken place. The Soviet Cosmos 1275 satellite, launched in June 1981, ceased working after only seven weeks for no apparent reason. Several other satellites are also suspected impact victims.

All objects in space are tracked by the North American Defence Network, 
NORAD,...At the latest count there were about 6,000 trackable objects in space of which only 5 per cent were active satellites. Twenty five per cent are dead vehicles such as spent upper stages and used satellites and the rest is debris of various sizes. Most space debris comes from either the accidental or deliberate explosion of satellites. 

Between 1973 and 1981 seven Delta rocket upper stages exploded because of a design fault. They showered more than a thousand trackable objects into orbit of which 70 per cent remain. 

The Soviet Union has exploded "killer" satellites in space as part of an anti-satellite system. 

It is estimated that in total there are 10-15,000 objects of 4 cm or larger in orbit, plus countless smaller objects. 


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1987


SATELLITES, BOOSTERS AND DEBRIS with a diameter of 10 centimeters or more swarm around the earth in this computerized printout by Lockheed engineers. Their printout is based on data from the U.S. North American Aerospace Defense Command. 


Trashing Space
[Scientific American August 1987]

Early in 1986 a rocket belonging to the European consortium Arianespace roared skyward carrying a Spot 1 satellite. After it had injected the French remote-sensing satellite into orbit, the rocket's third-stage booster itself remained in orbit. Last November, inexplicably, the booster blew up, contributing more shrapnel to an already dense—and potentially dangerous—swarm of objects hurtling around the globe. 


At a time when the U.S. is planning to extend its presence in space with a renewed shuttle program, the space station and possibly the Strategic Defense Initiative space technologists are becoming increasingly concerned by the growing cloud of debris that envelops the earth.


 The U.S. North American Aerospace Defense Command currently tracks some 7,000 objects about the size of a baseball or larger, most of them working and obsolete satellites and spent rocket boosters. 


Four years ago NORAD was tracking only 4,000 such objects, according to Donald J. Kessler of the National Aeronautics and Space Administra-tion. About 40,000 fragmentary ob-jects that are smaller than a baseball and larger than a pea are also in orbit, Kessler says. 


A pea-size object colliding with a satellite, a spacecraft or an astronaut at 10 kilometers per second could have the destructive power of a hand grenade, according to Nicholas L. Johnson of Teledyne Brown Engineering. 


Even much smaller objects can cause significant damage. In 1984 the space shuttle Challenger returned from a mission with a pit about a centimeter wide in a pane of its windshield. Investigators discovered that the pane, which had to be replaced, had been struck by a paint flake only .2 millimeter wide. 


 The U.S., says Robert C. Reynolds of Lockheed Engineering and Management Services Company, Inc., "probably has the dubious distinction of creating the most debris" with a series of Delta boosters that exploded during the 1970's. 


The U.S.S.R. has contributed with tests of antisatellite weapons and with the de-liberate destruction of malfunctioning satellites. 





1988

'Tracking the scrap metal in the sky' - Paul Mardin. [The Independent 13.6.1988] Illustration by Heath



Junk spotting in space

[The Times: 30.8.1988]  

Nick Nuttall looks at a  vacuum cleaner designed to  clean up the clutter in space  which could otherwise  jeopardize launches 

The space environment surrounding earth is becoming so cluttered up with junk that guaranteeing the security of vital weather, telecommunications, crop monitoring and navigation satellites may soon prove impossible. Manned space flights, trying to pass through this shroud of discarded and perished rockets, boosters, defunct satellites and other assorted scientific debris, will shortly also become jeopardized. These were just some of the gloomy predictions to emerge from a crisis conference of space scientists and astronomers earlier this month. 
Members of the International Astronomical Union (IAU), representing current and aspirant space nations, meeting in Washington DC, heard how tiny flecks of waste measuring no more than a postage stamp could cause serious problems for an orbiting satellite or vehicle.  Current estimates reckon more than 70,000 pieces of junk are now careering around the earth and the levels, say the scientists, are fast increasing. It seems as old Delta rockets and defunct Intel communication satellites collide they often shatter into fragments which whizz off often reaching speeds of up to 20,000mph. 
Dr John Mason, a British physicist, astronomer and consultant to the IAU's debris working party explained:"Just a pound of space junk travelling at say a modest 100mph hits a craft with the force of a 50-ton railway locomotive moving at the same speed." 

One scientist who believes he has at least a partial solution to the problem is Professor Kumar Ramohalli, head of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering at the University of Arizona, in Tucson, USA. He has designed a craft to fly in low Earth orbit, which, he claims, will pick up discarded but useful materials, which a shuttle can collect later, while retrieving true waste for incineration in the Earth's atmosphere. 
The device is called an Autonomous Space Processor for Orbital Debris (ASPOD) and Professor Ramohalli, with more then $50,000 in NASA grants, expects the first prototype to be ready early in 1991. 

At the heart of the craft are two computers — one controlling a pair of robotic handling arms and the other programmed to recognise structural patterns which look like junk. "You do not want ASPOD up there going around grabbing Russian satellites imagining they are debris. Pattern recognition is very important," explained Professor Ramohalli. 

Spreading out from the main body are a series of arms which support reflectors made from gold acrylic. When ASPOD spots debris these reflectors unfurl and incline towards the sun complete with an array of Fresnel lenses which focus the light's infra-red heat onto the junk. "Effectively, they act like powerful solar heat cutters carving up the debris into manageable chunks". 

The on-board computers then direct the robotic arms to funnel useless pieces back into a hopper, which, when full, is jettisoned into re-entry orbit for incineration. However, chunks or sheets of useful reflective debris are kept and welded onto the craft's reflector arms. 

"ASPOD grows as it collects. The craft starts out at about 2m in width but ends up around 5m processing a piece of junk in about an hour," said the professor. "The arms are a bit like the framework of an umbrella. You have part of the cloth covering it but not the whole lot. The useful pieces are just welded onto the structure for shuttle retrieval." 

The unique idea has already aroused the interest of several space nations. Professor Ramohalli admits his invention will not solve the increasing problems of space junk but believes it can play an important role in freeing the heavens from the worst excesses of debris. "It will not be able to handle the really tiny pieces. We expect it to be able to process junk about 10cms in size. However, with collisions occurring all the time adding to the general level of waste, ASPOD can at least help to keep down the rate at which fragments are proliferating", he said. 

1990
Columbia will have a safer flight.
Nick Nutall  The Times 4.1.1990


The shroud of space debris encirling Earth has fallen for the first time since records have been kept....Recent sun flare activity has played a key role in the purge.
Bil Djinis, NASA's project manager for orbital debris said sun flares in the past few months had been among the highest recorded, heating the upper reaches of the earth's atmosphere and causing it to distend and thicken. Consequently, some of the debris just beyond the upperreaches of the atmosphere, including flecks of painty, chips of metal and possibly even a pair of astronaut gloves, have been vapourised.
Figures show that, as of December 29, the number of traceable objects had fallen to 6,697. In 1988 Norad put the level at 7,110 objects.
1991

1997


To date only one person on Earth is known to have been hit by falling junk. In 1997 Lottie Williams from Tulsa, Oklahoma was strolling in the park when she saw a big ball of fire in the sky. A little while later, something hit her on the shoulder. It turned out to be a small piece of burned mesh from a Delta II rocket. It was like "being hit by an empty drinks can", she said.' She told NPR: "I think I was blessed that it doesn't weigh that much," says Williams, noting that larger pieces of this rocket fell elsewhere. "I mean, that was one of the weirdest things that ever happened to me."
 

Source: National Public Radio

Thursday, April 04, 2019

NEW MOVEMENTS FOR SOCIAL CHANGE: DiEM25, THE EMERGENCE NETWORK, EMERGE, THE ZEITGEIST MOVEMENT

 

2009 UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE, COPENHAGEN

The Democracy in Europe Movement (DiEM25)

'A pan-European, cross-border movement of democrats. We believe that the European Union is disintegrating. Europeans are losing their faith in the possibility of European solutions to European problems. At the same time as faith in the EU is waning, we see a rise of misanthropy, xenophobia and toxic nationalism. 
'If this development is not stopped, we fear a return to the 1930s. That is why we have come together despite our diverse political traditions - Green, radical left, liberal - in order to repair the EU. The EU needs to become a realm of shared prosperity, peace and solidarity for all Europeans. We must act quickly, before the EU disintegrates.'
'In February 2016, a group of activists, thinkers, and agitators gathered together in Berlin’s Volksbühne theatre and vowed to shake Europe.
 Many doubt us. The establishment fears us. But in the course of just two years, we have shown that it is possible for the people of Europe to come together in the fight for democracy.
'Two years on, our movement is rumbling around the globe, with 70,000 members and more than 100 Spontaneous Collectives (DSCs) worldwide. DiEM25 local groups are sprouting up in cities from London to Ljubljana to address Europe’s crisis of democracy. DiEM25 chapters are marching in the street for a European New Deal. And — as of this year — DiEM25 has activated an ‘electoral wing’ to contest elections and take its Progressive Agenda for Europe to ballots everywhere. And that fight has just begun.'
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THE EMERGENCE NETWORK

Their theme for 2019 is HOPE IN A TIME OF HOPELESSNESS

What if the way we respond to the crisis is part of the crisis?

'We are a constellation of humans and nonhumans working together trans-locally to curate projects, rituals, conversations and events that nurture senses of the otherwise via practices that trouble the traditional boundaries of agency and possibility. 
'We seek to shock outmoded modes of perception and action. We want to show how human bodies are changing, how whales and discarded pieces of gum are also ‘activists’, how remembering ancestry has political consequences, how thought is not a human feature, how bodies secrete time, and how slowing down in times of urgency makes sense in specific circumstances – especially now.
'The Emergence Network surfaces at a time when there seems to be a felt need for ‘alternative’ modes of engaging with our more troubling realities. What we offer are ways of diving into the cracks in our skins, processes that allow us notice that there are other items on the menu. That there are other places of power.
'Our work is to make more room available for movement – to emancipate action and responsiveness from its narrow humanist confines. Our approach takes for granted the fact that humans can no longer be centralized in our conceptions of change – and that, instead, we must begin to take into consideration the eco-cultural environments that are the conditions for our acting.
Our work is to facilitate conversations, curate assemblies, foster trans-disciplinary and trans-professional interactions, convene events that mobilize people into exploring the occluded and the invisible, and nurture regenerative practices that allow for other compelling questions and values to be articulated in the face of crisis.'

 Emerge is an independent, non-profit media platform sowing the seeds of a new civilisation

How Did Emerge Begin?
Emerge began as a three-day live event in Berlin in November 2018 initiated by three non-profit organisations: Perspectiva, London; co-creation.loft, Berlin and Ekskäret Foundation, Stockholm. The gathering brought together pioneers in complexity science, philosophy, spirituality, psychology, sustainability, creativity, and wisdom to explore dynamic solutions to our planet’s greatest challenges and discover new pathways of working, living and creating together. 

What We Believe

 The challenges facing our world today are more complex and species-threatening than ever before in human history. The global threat of climate change and the social impacts of digitalisation and globalisation are currently far more complex than our collective capacity to comprehend. In order for us to move forward, our thinking about global problems has to evolve to match their complexity.

Our personal psychology is of huge consequence to the outside world. If we are going to transform as a society then the personal development of individuals must be taken seriously as a societal, as well as an individual, concern.

There is no one ‘true’ way of seeing the world. In order to move forward we need to transcend binary thinking.This means moving beyond left and right political divides, thinking in terms of individual and collective responsibility, national and global identity, honoring individual identities and recognising the need to focus on a greater “we”.

Our world is socially constructed in more ways than we habitually tend to think. Human beings are dependent on and connected to the natural world, but when it comes to human society we are the creators. This means that we have more power than we realise to change it.

The emerging future will be co-created by all of us. The world is learning to come together in new ways and each of us has a vital role to play. Emerge is a place where all are called forth to bring our gifts to the greater circle.

Across the world, there are hundreds of initiatives, projects and persons who are already tackling real world problems from this place of deeper awareness. Our aim is to bring awareness to this growing movement and connect the dots between the people and projects contributing to this emergence.

This is a time of profound collaboration and we see you as a vital part of this mission. We’d love to weave your voice and vision into all that is being created and keep you updated on the launch of new projects, events and initiatives around the world.  Email contribute@whatisemerging.com and sign up to our newsletter here.
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Science, Technology, Nature, Sustainability

Founded in 2008, The Zeitgeist Movement (TZM) is a sustainability and public health advocacy organization.

It conducts research and activism through a network of regional chapters, public events and various forms of educational media.

The focus includes recognizing that the majority of the modern world’s social problems, including mounting ecological crises and destabilizing economic inequality (oppression, poverty, conflict, corruption, etc.) is not an inevitable outcome of our civilization. Rather, TZM sees these issues as consequential symptoms of an outdated social system.

While common reforms and general community support to improve conditions are of interest to TZM, working to galvanize the population in a move to change the very nature of our social system itself is the goal.

In this, a central criticism has been in addressing the inefficient nature of market-based economics or capitalism itself. TZM concludes that without a dramatic move away from the incentives and structural dynamics of the market system, there is little hope today for further, relevant improvements in the areas of human rights, ecological sustainability and general public health.

Supporters refer to the model promoted by TZM as a “Natural-Law Resource-Based Economy”. This model is inferential, derived from modern principles of scientific, sustainable earthly management, along with contemporary findings in social and epidemiological research.

TZM’s interest in change is global.

It has no allegiance to country or traditional political platforms. It views the world as a single system and the human species as a single family. It recognizes that all countries must disarm and learn to share resources and ideas if we expect to survive in the long run. Self-interest must become social-interest and the solutions arrived at and promoted are in the interest to help every human being.


REMEMBERING ANDREW TYLER [1946-2017]

It's sad to lose a friend - even sadder when you discover that he had died two years before and you didn't know that. Didn't also know that, such was the pain he was living with, that he elected to end his days at Dignitas in Switzerland.

Andrew and I met at the NME and were both freelancers. I had no idea, for some reason, of the large number of significant music pieces he wrote. I remember him much more for his superb and lengthy pieces on social issues. Our time at the NME overlapped. He was there from 1973 to 1980; I worked there under the name Dick Tracy from 1975-1982. Andrew wrote considerably more than I did, was often out on assignment and was a skilled feature writer. He graduated, as I did, to the national press,Time Out  and other magazines. His investigative work was first rate.

I shared his concern for animal rights. We published The Beast, the first (or one of the first) animal lib magazines in the UK or US. [See Previous Post] which ran from 1975-1981.


Andrew made his concern for animals into his full-time occupation as head of Animal Aid, one of Britain's leading groups promoting veganism and working for the welfare of animals on many levels.

His memoir 'My LifeAs An Animal' documents his working life in his own inimitable style, a book written whilst he was suffering with both Parkinson's disease and a degenerative condition in his back which meant he was in constant pain. It is a mark of the man that he is modest about his own achievements.

His long Kerouac-type meanderings with his guitar across the US in his teens was another whole chapter in his life that I was also unaware of.

He and his twin brothers grew up in a Jewish orphanage and he left school at 14 having read nothing but biblical texts and with minimal writing skills. He learnt on the job at small trade magazines. His background left him with a great concern for the poor, the dispossessed, the unloved, which he expressed in his work with difficult youths who he was able to communicate with on their level. Later he would write moving narrative stories about life on the street which few other journalists would have been able to.

Andrew's quiet and determined nature, his integrity, his focused anger always impressed, layered as it was with a great sense of dark humour. He was the finest of fellows who devoted so much of his life to fighting for the most mistreated of all - the animals.

'My Life As An Animal' is available from Animal Aid. Its existence is due to Sara who  wrote the book's last chapter and organised the whole production of the book, a huge learning curve for her and an exhausting experience. She wrote to me as follows:

'Andrew asked me to campaign for voluntary assisted deaths (VAD) after he'd gone - which I've done to the best of my ability.  I was very lucky and got a front page and two page spread in the Mirror for Andrew.  Because of that was then invited onto This Morning (which I had never seen or heard of as  we have had no TV for 20 years - also I was never an am TV watcher.  Never understood how people had the time!).  Anyway This Morning and Dignity in Dying put a clip of my interview on their FB Pages and I got over a million hits in a week - which I was told is basically unheard of for a non- celeb.  Just goes to show how this issue is in the zeitgeist, as I got over 3,000 comments mostly backing what I said.'
There's a fine obituary by Mark Gold in May 2017 in The Guardian 

Also another great tribute can be found on Charles Shaar Murray's blog


Andrew made 19 short videos in the last six weeks of his life. One of these is on his Facebook page in which he explains why he is off to Dignitas.  Check also this video on Vimeo.

Links to some of his printed works can be found on Wikipedia



ANDREW WITH STEVIE WONDER. He also interviewed John Lennon,
Leonard Cohen, Bruce Springsteen and many others.








Monday, April 01, 2019

UK RADICAL PRESS PROJECT


Back in late 1971, when the Generalist was working for the national underground newspaper Frendz, I began writing a regular column called 'Provincial Poontangs' about the numerous small regional and local papers and magazines being produced at that time. It appeared more or less in most issues until the paper folded in 1972 and it elicited a flood of papers from around the UK.

[In my naivety, being 22 at the time, I picked up the word 'poontang' from US underground papers and thought it sounded funny and cool. If you look up the word you'll find its completely inappropriate slang. Ooops!]

In this  May 1972 issue, PP was splashed over a double-page spread, with a list of around 110 publications opposite a map of some beauty created by the illustrator Bobby Dazzler. [Who he?]
The relevance of all this is that The Generalist is delighted to have made contact with a project based at the Regional History Centre at UWE Bristol entitled 'Recovering the Regional Radical Press in Britain 1968-88'. 

'It aims to identify the wealth of small, co-operatively produced local papers that played an important role in radical politics between the heady days of the late 1960s and the rise of Thatcherism in the 1980s. Few of these are now remembered and their history has been largely overlooked. This project, co-ordinated by Phil Chamberlain and Professor Steve Poole from the journalism and history departments at UWE, along with Jess Baines as research associate, will rediscover these lost papers and reconnect with the people who produced them.'

 
More details to come.

Thursday, March 28, 2019

A NEW WORLD: GLOBAL ENERGY TRANSFORMATION


This report from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) - a central platform for international cooperation on renewables- is a clear-sighted well-written accessible document about the geopolitical implications of the shift from the Fossil Fuel era to a world running on renewable energy.

An IRENA Global Commission, supported by the governments of Germany, Norway and the United Arab Emirates, initiated this  year-long study which was published in January 2019. It can be downloaded for free. Here are some filletted highlights:

'The shift from fossil fuels to renewables is driven by new technologies and falling costs, increasingly making renewables as competitive as conventional sources of energy. The energy transformation is also driven by the policies and actions of governments, businesses, cities and civil society, as well as the world-wide movement to combat climate change and dangerous air pollution.'
 -  Chairman Ólafur Ragnar Grimsson, former President of Iceland

'Renewable sources of energy—particularly wind and solar—have grown at
an unprecedented rate in the last decade and have consistently surpassed
expectations. The growth of their deployment in the power sector has already
outpaced that of any other energy source, including fossil fuels, which include
oil, coal and natural gas. Renewables, in combination with energy efficiency,
now form the leading edge of a far-reaching global energy transition.'

'Many developing economies will have the possibility to leapfrog fossil fuel based systems and centralized grids. Renewables will also be a powerful
vehicle of democratization because they make it possible to decentralize the
energy supply, empowering citizens, local communities, and cities.'
'The impact of the extraordinary growth in renewables has mostly been felt in the electricity sector. Since 2012, renewables have added more new power generation capacity than conventional sources of energy. Solar power added  more new capacity in 2017 than did coal, gas, and nuclear plants combined. Wind and solar now provide 6% of electricity generation worldwide, up from 0.2% in 2000. In the aggregate, renewables account for around a quarter of global electricity generation. 
Countries such as Denmark already generate more than half their electricity from variable renewable energy sources. In 2017, Costa Rica’s electricity was generated entirely from renewable energy for 300 days. For several days in the past year, the power systems of Germany, Portugal and Denmark were able to run entirely on renewables.'
 Electrification. Electricity accounts for 19% of total final energy consumption,
but its share is expected to grow as increased electrification of end-use sectors
takes place. The deployment of heat pumps and electric vehicles, for example,
permits electricity to be used for heating, cooling, and transport. Electricity
has been the fastest growing segment of final energy demand, growing two-thirds
faster than energy consumption as a whole since 2000. This trend is
set to continue. Since 2016, the power sector has attracted more investment
than the upstream oil and gas sectors that have traditionally dominated energy
investment, another reflection of the ongoing electrification of the world’s
economy.






This data is taken from the Shell Sky Scenario (2018), which has the merit of forecasting to 2100 and therefore projects the nature of the energy transformation over the course of the century.
[According to The Times [25th March 2019] the Royal Dutch Shell group, valued at close to £200 billion, wants to become the world's biggest electricity company by the 2030s]


 Six enabling trends drive the rapid deployment of renewables.

1. Declining Costs:  
The steep decline in costs of renewable energy and energy storage has surprised even the most optimistic observers. Once dismissed as too expensive to expand beyond niche markets,solar and wind can now beat conventional generation technologies on cost
in many of the world’s top markets, even without subsidies. 
Since 2010, the average cost of electricity from solar PV and wind energy has
fallen by 73% and 22% respectively. In countries as dissimilar as Chile and
Saudi Arabia, India and the United States, electricity is being produced in
optimal locations for around 30 US dollars per megawatt hour (MWh).
The cost of lithium-ion batteries, which are used in electric vehicles,
has fallen by 80% since 2010.

 Significant cost declines are expected to continue over the course of the next
decade. IRENA estimates that by 2025 the global weighted average cost of
electricity could fall by 26% from onshore wind, by 35% from offshore wind,
by at least 37% from concentrated solar power (CSP) technologies, and by
59% from solar photovoltaics (PV).18 The cost of stationary battery storage
could fall by up to 60%,19 and there is growing confidence that electric and
conventional vehicles will be sold at comparable prices by the mid-2020s.

2. Pollution and Climate Change
The World Health Organization estimates that nine out of every ten people in the world breathe polluted air that is hazardous to health and wellbeing, and that air pollution kills 7 million people every year, making it the fourth largest cause of death.

An analysis by IRENA has shown that deployment of renewable energy combined with improved
energy efficiency provides the most cost-effective way to achieve the 90% reduction in energy-related emissions that is required to meet the Paris Agreement target.


3. Renewable EnergyTargets
So far, 57 countries have developed plans to decarbonize their electricity
sector completely, and 179 have set national or state renewable energy targets.

4. Technological Innovations:
In the long term, next generation biofuels and renewable hydrogen
generated from electrolysis may permit renewables to extend into a
growing range of hard-to-electrify sectors, such as aviation, shipping and
heavy industry
New digital technologies, such as smart grids, the internet of things,
big data, and artificial intelligence, are being applied in the energy industry,
helping to raise its efficiency and accelerate the use of renewable energy
within emerging smart generation and distribution systems.

5. Corporate and Investor Action

Both Apple and Microsoft recently announced that their facilities
are completely powered by renewable energy. Many other companies, including
IKEA, Tata Motors and Walmart, have committed to source 100% of their
electricity consumption from renewables.

6. Public Opinion
Pope Francis has endorsed phasing out fossil fuels in
the encyclical 'Laudato Si′.

Public opinion is not only being expressed through words but also through direct
actions. Demonstrations against air pollution have taken place in numerous
cities, from Beijing to London. Approximately 15,000 Australian school children
took part in a school strike to demand action by their government against climate
change. New social movements, such as Extinction Rebellion and the Sunrise
Movement, are campaigning for radical action to tackle climate change

Litigation is on the rise too. A court in the Hague ordered the Dutch government
to reduce the Netherlands’ greenhouse gas emissions by at least 25% by
2020 compared to 1990 levels

*
COUNTRIES
China is the biggest location for renewable energy investment, 
accounting for more than 45% of the
global total in 2017.
No country has put itself in a better position to become the world’s renewable energy superpower than China. In aggregate, it is now the world’s largest producer, exporter and installer of solar panels, wind turbines, batteries and electric vehicles, placing it at the forefront of the global energy transition.

Germany leads the way with almost 31,000 renewable energy patents. Germany’s domestic Energiewende, or ‘energy transition’, has made the country a frontrunner in renewable energy deployment


India has set itself an ambitious target of 175 GW of renewables by 2022.

Iceland is a good example of the benefits that can accrue from an economic
transformation based on renewables. During the 20th century, it evolved from
being one of Europe’s poorest countries, highly dependent on imported coal
and oil, to a country with a high standard of living, which derives 100% of its
electricity from hydro and geothermal energy. The effective development
of its renewables has enabled Iceland to bolster its energy security, widen
its economic base, and attract new industries to the country, including aluminium
smelting, data storage and greenhouse agriculture

Some countries, such as Albania, Ethiopia, Lesotho, Norway, Paraguay and Tajikistan,
already obtain all or almost all of their electricity from hydropower, which is
an established technology that provides stability in the transmission system.
Others have achieved similar results using a mix of renewables. Brazil,
Costa Rica, New Zealand and Kenya, for example, generate more than 80%
of their electricity from a combination of hydro, geothermal, wind, biomass
and solar power.

Australia’s economically demonstrated solar and wind
energy resources are estimated to be 75% greater than its combined coal,
gas, oil and uranium resources.

 In the Atacama Desert, Chile has amongthe world’s best solar resources, as well as high potential or wind, hydropower, geothermal and ocean energy. In both cases, however, the remoteness of these locations will probably constrain electricity exports.


ENERGY INTERNETS and MICROGRIDS

Due to the falling cost of solar PV and wind power, as well as smart distribution
systems, almost anyone with a rooftop or some land can produce electricity,
either for self-consumption or for the grid. These developments will generate
a more diverse energy ecosystem. Local and distributed forms of energy
generation give households and communities more autonomy than centralized
grid systems.

As more people install solar panels, batteries and smart software, formerly
passive consumers of electricity may become consumers and producers of
electricity in an interconnected grid.Advances in communication technology
may lead to the emergence of an ‘energy internet’, allowing hundreds of millions
of people to produce electricity in their homes, offices and factories and share
it peer-to-peer

In 2016 private citizens in Germany owned 31.5% of installed renewable
power capacity, making them the largest ‘bloc’ of investors in the sector

In the United States, microgrids became popular after Hurricane Sandy
knocked out power for 8.5 million people in 21 states


Countries in Africa and South Asia have a golden opportunity to avoid expensive
fixed investments in fossil fuels and centralized grids by adopting mini-grids
and decentralized solar and wind energy deployed off-grid—just as they
jumped straight to mobile phones and obviated the need to lay expensive
copper-wired telephone networks.

CITIES

Cities occupy a central role in the energy transformation. By the middle of
this century, 70% of the world’s population is expected to live in cities. Cities
consume around two-thirds of generated energy and produce 70% of the
world’s carbon emissions. They are also especially vulnerable to the effects
of climate change, including coastal flooding and urban heat island effects.
At the same time, they have the means to shape the new energy landscape.

Cities are already taking decisive action. In 2017, more than one hundred
towns and cities were sourcing up to 70% of their electricity from renewables,
compared to 42 in 2015. Several capital cities are among them, including
Oslo (Norway), Dar es Salaam (Tanzania), Quito (Ecuador) and Wellington
(New Zealand). 

Yokohama, Japan’s second largest city, is deploying a smart
city project that has led to a roll out of smart grids, solar PV panels and electric
vehicles. New megacities are being announced and built to run entirely on
renewable electricity, such as Neom, which will be constructed near the Red
Sea and Aqaba Gulf.

Cities and local municipalities are also forming global alliances and networks,
including C40, ICLEI and the global covenant of mayors

MINERALS and METALS

The widespread adoption of renewable energy and related technologies, such
as solar panels, wind turbines, electric vehicles, and energy storage technologies,
will increase the demand for a range of minerals and metals required
for their production

The largest reserves of metals and minerals required for renewable
technologies are found in weak states with poor governance records. More
than 60% of the world’s cobalt supply originates in the Democratic Republic
of the Congo (DRC). 

In Colombia, a country in which the
longest-running internal armed conflict has taken place, various armed groups
have controlled and exploited illegal tin, tungsten, tantalum and gold mining
resources.
Efforts have been made to address the issue of so-called conflict minerals.


WATER

By 2050, the demand for water and food is expected to rise by over 50%.

The interplay between water, energy and food supply systems—the nexus—

creates major geopolitical challenges for countries at a time of accelerating

climate change.

Renewable forms of energy can help to reduce water stress. Renewables
require water withdrawals 200 times lower than conventional energy
On current trends, about 674 million people, mainly in Africa, could still be without power in 2030.

Estimates suggest that off-grid solutions (standalone and mini-grids) could supply approximately 60% of the additional generation needed to achieve the goal of universal energy access by 2030.

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

ANCIENT CITIES: AMAZONIA2 and GREAT PLAINS [USA]


Seven years ago this month, THE GENERALIST ran a long piece on the archaeological discoveries in Amazonia that showed evidence of a considerable number of  ancient settlements across the region that were much larger and more advanced than previous theories suggested, surrounded by areas that were extensively cultivated. SEE PREVIOUS POST 

So was interested to read a bang up to date summary of the latest evidence and theories in 'Finding the Real Eldorado' by Michael Marshall [New Scientist/19th Jan 2019].

Long before the arrival of Europeans, millions of people were living in Amazonia, building vast earthworks and  cultivating multitudes of plants and fish.

When the Europeans did arrive in the 1500s there were several reports of cities, road networks and cultivation. The mysteries of these lost cities fuelled many a gripping yarn and several expeditions searched for the legendary El Dorado without success. As a result, for many years, Amazonia was regarded as a pristine wilderness, with lush vegetation but poor soils that would not be able to support substantial human occupation.

Marshall says that this view changed in the 1990s. Fresh evidence of larger settlements and a new understanding of terra preta - patches of dark earth first discovered in the 1870s - emerged. This fertile soil is now thought to have been enriched by charcoal, created by burning waste including bones and seeds. However it only dates from 2,000 years ago and Amazonia was inhabited much longer than that.

Recent DNA samples of current Amazonian tribes has confirmed that colonists from east Asia, who first arrived in the Americas 17,000 years ago, quickly reached Amazonia, whose population began to expand  for the next 3,500 years. By 9,000 years ago, we now know that the Amazonians had domesticated 83 species of plants, including many that would become the most important crops in the world. There are traces from 4,500 years ago of fruit tree planting and rice growing. Large fish farms have been found.

It is clear that they also built substantial structures, principally out of soil.They never used stone and didn't have metal. Archaeologist Michael Heckenberger has spent 25 years mapping a substantial group of ancient settlements, home to some 50,000 people, that were linked by a network of roads.

It now seems that the entire southern Amazon belt [1800 kms long], was occupied by earth-building cultures from 1250-1500 AD.Their cities were linked networks of smaller clustered settlements woven into the fabric of the forest. They farmed fish and trees not wheat, barley and cattle.

Their population peaked in 1000 AD and began to decline over the next 50 years for reasons thatare not known..The best estimate is that there were 8-10 million people living in Amazonia by 1492, the year Columbus "discovered" America. When Europeans arrived, the rate of decline of the Amazonian population accelerated.


Modern deforestation has also revealed huge earthworks, further evidence of the extent of civilisations thousands of years ago. 

In 2010, a Finnish anthropologist Martti Pärssinen reported on his discovery of more than 300 large-scale geometrical patterns - mainly consisting of mounds and moats - in the Brazilian state of Acre alone. This construction feat has been compared to the scale of the Egyptian pyramid building. Radiocarbon dating conducted on the construction show that the earliest ones were built some 2.000 years ago.

Denise Schaan, co-author of the study and anthropologist at the Federal University of Pará, in Belém, Brazil.“We are talking of enormous structures, with diameters ranging from 100 to 300 meters, connected by straight orthogonal roads. They are strategically located on plateaux tops above the river valleys. Their builders took advantage of the natural topography in order to construct spaces that were full of symbolic meaning.”

“The geoglyphs are an astonishing discovery...They are the vestiges of a sophisticated pre-Columbian monument-building society.” 
[Source: ZME Science]

See Also: Under The Jungle by David Grann  [New Yorker. 7th Jan 2010]

*

CAHOKIA and ETZANOA




There is a similarity between this story and discoveries made in the Great Plains of America. Again my main source is another excellent piece 'The Missing city on the Plains' by Daniel Cossins (New Scientist/1 Dec 2018). Most people will think that the vast grasslands of the Midwest were peopled by tribes of Native Americans who led a nomadic existence in small groups.

This view was disproved by the discovery of Cahokia, America's first city, centred on a large grassy knoll directly across the Mississippi River from modern St. Louis, Missouri. A cluster of small villages of the Mississippian people in the 9th century expanded over the next 200 years into a city of 20,000 people. Cossins writes: 'A 30m high terraced structure hewn from the clay-heavy soil, overlooked a grand plaza, outside of which people lived in thatched huts scattered across the landscape.' It was abandoned by the mid-14th century.

According to Wikipedia, the site is now a historic park covering 2,200 acres (890 ha) /3.5 sq mls (9 sq km),  containing about 80 mounds. In its heyday,  the ancient city was much larger, covering 6 sq miles (16 sq km) and included about 120 man-made earthen mounds.
'Cahokia was the largest and most influential urban settlement of the Mississippian culture, which developed advanced societies across much of what is now the central and southeastern United States, beginning more than 1,000 years before European contact. Today, Cahokia Mounds is considered the largest and most complex archaeological site north of the great pre-Columbian cities in Mexico.'
 'Archaeologists estimate the city's population at between 6,000 and 40,000 at its peak, with more people living in outlying farming villages that supplied the main urban center.  If the highest population estimates are correct, Cahokia was larger than any subsequent city in the United States until the 1780s, when Philadelphia's population grew beyond 40,000. Moreover, according to the same population estimates, the population of 13th-century Cahokia was equal to or larger than the population of 13th-century London.'

The discovery of the second largest prehistoric settlement Etzanoa in modern-day Kansas can be traced back to the historic records of a 1601 Spanish expedition across what is now Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.Cossins reports: 'The Spanish recounted how they were led to a settlement of people they called the Rayados so that it would have taken two days to walk across it. They called it Etzanoa and reckoned it was home to 20,000 people.' 

Further testimonies of the expedition and an enigmatic map have come to light, piquing the interest of anthropologists Donald Blakeslee who went out into the field to follow-up previous speculations that Etzanoa lay at the confluence of the Arkansas and Walnut rivers in southern Kansas. By matching clues in the documents to the landscape, excavations have uncovered evidence of clusters of houses surrounded by gardens and some metal objects which may be Spanish. Further excavations to follow.
(Photo by William S. Soule/Wikimedia Commons)
According to an account in La Crosse International in August 2018: 'Centuries ago, people lived there in thatched, beehive-shaped houses that ran for miles along local riverbeds, the 75-year-old said. [Blakeslee] bases such claims on the unearthing in recent years of a huge trove of pottery, arrowheads, stone scrapers and other relics along a five-mile stretch along the banks of the Walnut and Arkansas rivers.'

Two videos on the Wichita Eagle website: Blakeslee refers to other discoveries: a settlement of 10,000 people in West Ohio and another in North Dakota.